Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has successfully made 9.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted in all games this season.
In comparison to last season's 33.7% clip, Jalen Williams's 3-point efficiency has spiked this season to 43.2%.
Jalen Williams has played 30.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 122.9 points per game as the home team measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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