Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has made 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 23.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Jalen Williams has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 25th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.0).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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