Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 3.8 clip, Jalen Suggs's shots from behind the three-point arc have increased this year to 5.2 per game.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 10.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game away from home this year.
In regard to offense, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 106.0 points per game when playing away from home places 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Orlando Magic.
Jalen Suggs will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production across the board.

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