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Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Suggs has sunk 57.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Relative to last year's 3.8 rate, Jalen Suggs's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this year to 5.1 per game.

The Magic have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Bulls are the visiting team (9th-most in the league).

Jalen Suggs will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Suggs places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (13.7).

The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The Orlando Magic will likely see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

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