Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:19 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has attempted 12.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Suggs has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1).
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Magic.
The Magic will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs comes in at the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production across the board.

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