Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has attempted 6.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.7%).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Magic are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New York Knicks).
The Magic check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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