Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 9, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.8 buckets per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, creating a favorable matchup.
The Magic have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (shortening possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Magic have been terrific at drawing fouls: 5th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, drawing 25.1 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs places in the 25th percentile for field goal prowess while playing away from home with a a weak 41.9% rate since the start of last season.
Jalen Suggs has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
With respect to offense, the Orlando Magic's poor 111.2 points per game places 5th-lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has shot 48.8% on field goals (5th-best in the NBA) against the Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup.

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