Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 18.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Pelicans are at home (2nd-least in the league).

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has converted 33.8% of his field goal attempts while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Suggs has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Pelicans are playing at home, their opposition have compiled the 8th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA against them this year (36.2%).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).