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Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Suggs has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year away from home.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

As a team, the Orlando Magic have been very successful at getting to the free throw line of late: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games with 28.2 foul shot attempts per game.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 18.6 foul shots per game while on his home court this year (most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Suggs has attempted just 8.3 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.4 rate last season.

Jalen Suggs has tallied a lowly 22.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 26.8 minutes per game last year.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (40.4).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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