Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 7:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has totaled 2.9 assists per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jalen Suggs figures to see an increase in efficiency across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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