Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has compiled 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
The Magic have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Magic are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).
The Magic rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Nets have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last year.
Jalen Suggs will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production across the board.

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