Jalen McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen McDaniels

F-C · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 3, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen McDaniels has successfully made 43.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 11.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen McDaniels has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 18.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 16.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Jalen McDaniels has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 fouls per game last season.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a strong one; they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (121.8).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).