Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has averaged an impressive 6.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Compared to last year's 14.0 mark, Jalen Johnson's playing time has spiked this year to 30.9 minutes per game.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league while on their home court this year.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should increase plays for the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson lands in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game at home this year.
On the road, the Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (16.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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