Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:39 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson rates in the 90th percentile for shots scored while playing at home, registering a colossal 7.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson places in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.9 minutes per game at home this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In regard to treys, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 12.2 sunk threes per game playing at home settles in as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 9.7 field goal attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a challenging matchup.

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