Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 14, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 9:29 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has sunk 7.9 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 36.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Bucks is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).
The 2nd-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

The Hawks check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Bucks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).
Jalen Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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