Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 30, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has converted 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Jalen Johnson has sunk 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 12.6% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 36.3 minutes per game away from home this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 8.7 shots made from the field per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

In terms of three-pointers, the Hawks's feeble 35.0% rate of converted threes rates 9th-worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
Jalen Johnson stands to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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