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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has converted 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.3 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Johnson has attempted 5.1 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.6 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson places in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target threes while playing on the road, compiling a massive 2.9 per game since the start of last season.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Pistons, marking this as a difficult matchup.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Jalen Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance across the board.

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