Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson rates in the 81st percentile for shooting prowess with a remarkable 51.7% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.0 minutes per game since the start of last season.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a good matchup.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).

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