Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 12:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 17.2 shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Jalen Johnson has made 57.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game away from home this year.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.6 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.5).
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will likely suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this contest.

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