Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

LA Clippers vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 18, 2024 1:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 16.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Jalen Johnson has played 33.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has attempted and missed 3.6 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's missed from 3-point range overall this year while playing on the road.
Relative to last year's 1.6 rate, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.5.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 0.9 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, making this a challenging matchup.
The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

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