Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 14.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors, designating this as a strong matchup.
The quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has attempted and missed 3.1 attempts from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's missed from downtown over the course of the year.
Jalen Johnson has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile).
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Atlanta Hawks's lackluster 33.3% rate of made threes places 4th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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