Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has sunk 7.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Jalen Johnson has made 47.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 8.6% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year playing at home.
Jalen Johnson has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 4.9 3-point attempts per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a good matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.

Favors Under

The Hawks have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).

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