Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Jalen Johnson has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 13.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 18.6 points per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Wizards, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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