Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-155/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson measures in the 91st percentile for shooting effectiveness with a a great 59.4% rate this year.
Compared to last season's 14.4 rate, Jalen Johnson's playing time has increased this season to 30.2 minutes per game.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.6 field goal attempts per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson registers in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Jalen Johnson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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