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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 37.2% of his shots from downtown on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup against Oklahoma is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 23rd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (38.9%).

The 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Hawks.

The Hawks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 11.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage since the start of last season in regard to three-point attempts.

The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 13th percentile for free-throw effectiveness while playing away from home with a a feeble 62.6% rate since the start of last season.

Jalen Johnson ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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