Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has made 83.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 24.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing away from home.
Jalen Johnson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 35.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year away from their home court.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year while playing away from home.
The Raptors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Raptors is a tough one for threes; opposing teams have averaged the 7th-least treys per game in the NBA this year with the home court advantage (12.8).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to treys.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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