Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league as the home team this year.
The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will likely get a boost in output across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Hawks rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

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