Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-230).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
Jalen Johnson should see a rise in efficiency across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).
With respect to shots from downtown, the Hawks's subpar 34.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 4th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least 3-pointers per game in the league over the last 10 games (1.2).
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

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