Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+154/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The New York Knicks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has failed to make 3.8 attempts from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range in all games this year when playing away from home.
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on threes (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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