Jalen Green Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Green Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has put up 4.4 defensive boards per game at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
Jalen Green has tallied 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.
Jalen Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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