Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 17.9 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Green has attempted 8.7 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.4 rate last season.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Clippers may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In regard to threes, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 30.8% rate of converted threes comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have registered 11.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Houston Rockets.

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