Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has posted 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 13.0 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 11.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jalen Green has played 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 46.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

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