Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 91st percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 6.4 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 29.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (51.5%).
The Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

Jalen Green has notched a mere 17.1 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 22.1 points per game last year.
When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.7 points per game measures as the 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Jalen Green has attempted a measly 4.4 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 6.1 rate last year.

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