Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 6:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 85th percentile for shots from the field while on the road, putting up 13.8 per game this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 8.2 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green places in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.3 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 24 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 18.4 points per game (25th-highest in the league) against the 76ers, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive output.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Rockets's unimpressive 112.7 points per game ranks 9th-worst in the NBA this year.
The 6th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player production across the board.

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