Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 87th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 5.9 per game this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Rockets's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 9th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have registered 19.0 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green has successfully made a lowly 3.9 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.8 mark last season.

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