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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Green has attempted 8.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Rockets.
  • With the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last season's 17.9 mark, Jalen Green's field goal attempts have been reduced this season to 15.1 per game.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 39.0% on field goals (11th-worst in the league) against the Lakers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
  • The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, struggling to get to the foul line.

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