Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has logged an impressive 21.6 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 24.3 points per game last year.
In contrast to last year's 2.1 rate, Jalen Green's personal fouls per game have tailed off this year to 1.3.
As it relates to treys, the Rockets's remarkable 37.9% rate of drained threes places 10th-most in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Relative to last season's 6.5 mark, Jalen Green's number of free throws has spiked this season to 7.0 free throws per game.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has attempted a measly 6.0 three-pointers per game this year, significantly less than his 7.3 mark last year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 1.0 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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