Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 3:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's remarkable 48.3% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league at home this year, which should increase plays for the Houston Rockets.
When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has sunk a measly 6.0 baskets per game this year, significantly lower than his 7.5 mark last year.
Jalen Green has attempted a measly 5.0 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 7.3 rate last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 5.5 3-point attempts per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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