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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 10.4 rate, Jalen Green's failed shots have fallen this year to 8.1 per game.

Jalen Green has accumulated 1.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (24th percentile).

With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's impressive 117.8 points per game while on the road rates 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.4 free throws per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are on the road (28th-most in the league).

Jalen Green will likely see a rise in output in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 13th-least three-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (2.0).

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.

The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 79.0% clip, Jalen Green's foul-shot performance has tailed off this year to 67.8%.

More Jalen Green Player Props

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