Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots taken when playing at home, putting up 17.7 per game since the start of last season.
Jalen Green has attempted 7.2 treys per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, their opposition has come down with 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while at home ranks 3rd-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 5.2 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Kings, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league while on their home court this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.