Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Jalen Green has attempted 7.3 three-point shots per game away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Green has averaged 32.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup vs. Washington is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Wizards are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 25th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.8).
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
Playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Wizards may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Jalen Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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