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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Green has averaged 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
  • Jalen Green has attempted 7.4 threes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Jalen Green has tallied 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Green has attempted 10.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.4).
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.
  • The Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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