Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 2:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 7.3 clip, Jalen Green's shot attempts from downtown have regressed this season to 6.1 per game.
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.4).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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