Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has averaged 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
Jalen Green figures to see an increase in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while at home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

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