Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has put up an impressive 8.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.5 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Jalen Duren has been on the court for a whopping 29.7 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 25.0 minutes per game last year.
The fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren should see an increase in production in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).