Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has posted a terrific 11.4 rebounds per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.9 rebounds per game last season.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren stands to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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