Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has totaled 3.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.