Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has compiled 4.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
Jalen Duren has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Pistons.

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