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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has successfully made 88.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 17.9% more than he's made in all games this year.

The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 5th-best in in the NBA on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 23 games.

Jalen Duren has successfully made 95.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when Carter Jr. is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (98th percentile).

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a difficult one for scoring; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a measly 4.9 buckets per game (13th percentile).

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been poor at getting to the free-throw line while playing away from home: worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 18.6 free throw attempts per game.

Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance across the board.

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