Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has converted 65.1% of his shots from the field away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
The number of treys attempted against Goga Bitadze has been very high (3.7 per game) when at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (92nd percentile).
The Pistons check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Goga Bitadze has been very high (4.3 free throws per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren slots into the 4th percentile for 3-point performance with a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Jalen Duren has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.
The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Pistons.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Pistons.

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